Report SC4

EFAS detailed assessment report focuses on two flood events during autumn 2018 affecting citizens and decision-making from different water managers and users in two different countries. The report is targeted on a situation in the region of Valencia, Spain in mid-October 2018 and in the northern Italy from late October till early November 2018, and aims to provide a thorough understanding of the EFAS forecasts in terms of accuracy, time-efficient availability and effective communication of the forecasts. In addition to the hydrological forecasting skill, the report provides information about the hydrological model performance in the regions of interest, meteorological forecasts and initial conditions (i.e. soil moisture). The flood and flash flood generation drivers are stated for each region together with the number of EFAS notifications sent to the partners. Overall, this assessment allows identification of EFAS service limitations and leads to a number of suggestions for further service improvements.

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